The Altcoin Season Index currently sits at 36, a value that suggests we’re not yet in an altcoin season. So, what does this mean for investors in 2025? And could Bitcoin maintain its dominance for the rest of the year? This article explores the altcoin season index, what it means, and which projects—like REALMAN—might lead the charge when altcoins return to the spotlight. In a fast-evolving crypto landscape, understanding market signals is key.

Understanding the Altcoin Season Index

The Altcoin Season Index compares the performance of altcoins to Bitcoin over the past 90 days. If 75% of the top 100 altcoins outperform Bitcoin during that period, it’s considered altcoin season.

At the end of 2024, the index hit 64, signaling a potential shift. But by February 2025, it dropped to 36, indicating a strong Bitcoin-led market. In the current crypto market, altcoins are still struggling to gain traction.

This decline suggests that while optimism exists, investors should remain cautious and watch how the market reacts to macroeconomic shifts and regulatory signals. The altcoin season index helps investors navigate the cycles of dominance between Bitcoin and altcoins.

Bitcoin Strong Above $96K – But Bearish Signals Flash

Bitcoin continues to hold steady above $96,000. Though the trend remains bullish on the surface, indicators such as the Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) have turned bearish. The IFP tracks flows between spot and derivatives markets. Typically, increasing flow into derivatives suggests a rally is coming—but not this time.

Instead, analysts caution that Bitcoin could face stronger resistance around $100K before any breakout occurs. With dominance high and altcoins lagging, crypto traders are in a wait-and-see mode. The market is highly reactive to BTC shifts, and these dynamics directly impact the altcoin season index.

Oversupply of Altcoins in 2025

One reason for the weak altcoin season index is oversupply. In January alone, over 600,000 tokens were launched. That’s a staggering number for even the most seasoned crypto investors to process. This flood of projects fragments attention and investment capital, reducing momentum for quality altcoins.

Even AI-related altcoins like FET, RNDR, and NEAR have declined over 40% in recent months. The market remains competitive and unforgiving, rewarding only the most innovative and engaging ecosystems. Bitcoin, by comparison, maintains its reputation as the anchor of the crypto economy.

Top Altcoin Performances in the Last 90 Days

Still, not all is bleak. Hyperliquid (HYPE) surged 735%, and Ripple (XRP) gained 143% over 90 days. But most altcoins, including many in the top 100, have underperformed compared to BTC.

This mixed performance reflects a fragmented crypto market, where narratives matter just as much as fundamentals. Investors are watching for signs of the next altcoin season, using the index as a key metric. Altcoin leadership depends on rising utility and sustained growth against Bitcoin's strength.

How REALMAN Could Lead the Next Altcoin Season

In a market overflowing with meme coins and speculative tokens, one project has stood out in early 2025 — REALMAN.

REALMAN is more than a meme — it’s a Web3 lifestyle brand that taps into masculine identity, gamified staking, and community-driven missions. Powered by a native economy with REALMONEY (an in-game currency), players can level up, earn crypto rewards, and access NFT-based customization for their avatars.

Unlike many new tokens that rise and fall overnight, REALMAN offers:

• Deflationary tokenomics
• Gamified player levels and mission rewards
• NFT-based identity and staking perks
• One of the fastest-growing Telegram and X communities

What makes REALMAN powerful is its utility. It’s not just a meme — it has an ecosystem. Its engaging mechanics give it an edge in a competitive crypto market, and many analysts believe it could kickstart the next altcoin season.

As the altcoin season index recovers, REALMAN could become one of the defining projects of the rally. With proper community support and upcoming integrations, REALMAN has the potential to climb the market rankings and attract attention even during Bitcoin’s dominance.

Final Thoughts: Is an Altcoin Season Coming?

The altcoin season index isn’t flashing green yet — but we’re not far off. Projects like REALMAN show that a well-executed token with community, culture, and utility can thrive even when the market is cautious.

While Bitcoin still leads, traders seeking crypto gains beyond BTC will eventually return to altcoins. When they do, REALMAN could be the breakout project that captures both attention and value. With Bitcoin’s hold firm, altcoins must prove their value, and REALMAN may be the one to break through.

For now, investors should track the altcoin season index, follow shifts in the crypto market, and prepare for the cycles ahead. As always, timing the market is hard — but understanding it gives you the edge.